Wednesday, January 22, 2014

The Line of Demarcation

According to thefreedictionary.com, the "Line of Demarcation" is defined as:

A line defining the boundary of a buffer zone or area of limitation. A line of demarcation may also be used to define the forward limits of disputing or belligerent forces after each phase of disengagement or withdrawal has been completed.

So if we assume teams = "disputing or belligerent forces" and completed games = "each phase of disengagement", we should be able to see a Line of Demarcation in the QRF between teams after they play each other.

That was one of the eye opening parts of the Nitty Gritty Report - along with the items shown in the Nitty Gritty Report blog it included an entire schedule for each team in order of Overall State QRF rank.  For almost every team, a person would be able to manually look at this schedule and see where a team should be ranked.

For example, let's go back to Section 8AA North BBB thru 1/19/14.  There are 9 teams in this sub-section, ranked everywhere from 69th to 376th overall.

Team
QRF Rank
vs. higher QRF
vs. lower QRF
East Grand Forks
69
0-2
9-0
Crosby-Ironton
95
2-1
8-2
Crookston
151
1-2
12-1
Park Rapids Area
158
0-3
10-1
Pequot Lakes
233
0-5
7-1
Roseau
243
1-5
6-0
Bagley
363
0-12
1-0
BGMR
371
1-9
3-1
Warroad
376
0-13
1-0
All Teams
 
5-52
57-6

As the table above shows, teams are 5-52 (8.8%) against teams with a higher QRF, and 57-6 (90.5%) against teams with a lower QRF.  Because there are upsets and/or teams that play more than once and split during the year, we can't get the QRF to be 100% in either of the above records.  But to have a 90.5% winning percentage against teams with a lower rank and 8.8% vs teams above in the QRF shows the "Line of Demarcation" which is the QRF rank a team has earned.

This might get a little long, but here are the schedules for each of the 17 teams in 8AA Boys BB thru 1/19/14.  Take a look at where you think the "Line of Demarcation" should be for each one and how close the QRF got to it.

East Grand Forks (69)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
43 Grand Rapids AAA 49 59 L
43 Grand Rapids AAA 60 69 L
81 Thief River Falls AAA 78 67 W
82 Detroit Lakes AAA 62 51 W
191 Hawley AA 81 63 W
200 Fertile-Beltrami A 73 66 W
205 Dilworth-Glyndon-Felton AA 80 58 W
278 Duluth Denfeld AAA 65 57 W
289 Bemidji AAAA 90 37 W
289 Bemidji AAAA 67 58 W
363 Bagley AA 66 52 W
  Grand Forks Red River 59 74 L
  Grand Forks Central 59 69 L

Crosby-Ironton (95)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
82 Detroit Lakes AAA 60 39 W
82 Detroit Lakes AAA 49 51 L
91 Esko AA 61 54 W
97 Hermantown AAA 58 55 W
101 Perham AA 42 49 L
157 Fond du Lac Ojibwe A 67 69 L
158 Park Rapids Area AA 65 58 W
180 Moose Lake-Willow River AA 58 51 W
217 Cass Lake-Bena A 85 58 W
263 Duluth Marshall AA 74 54 W
303 Aitkin AA 72 51 W
369 Nova Classical Academy A 79 47 W
377 Pine River-Backus A 61 42 W

Perham (101)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
60 Mankato West AAA 52 60 L
95 Crosby-Ironton AA 49 42 W
114 Pelican Rapids AA 55 56 L
126 Barnesville AA 66 64 W
138 Battle Lake A 51 52 L
149 Breck AA 55 52 W
151 Crookston AA 61 46 W
158 Park Rapids Area AA 83 29 W
191 Hawley AA 47 63 L
216 Staples-Motley AA 74 43 W
227 Worthington AAA 81 52 W
254 Breckenridge AA 64 40 W
302 Frazee AA 54 41 W
359 Wadena-Deer Creek AA 83 53 W

Pelican Rapids (114)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
101 Perham AA 56 55 W
126 Barnesville AA 72 56 W
151 Crookston AA 71 88 L
191 Hawley AA 75 72 W
200 Park Christian A 79 59 W
205 Dilworth-Glyndon-Felton AA 41 53 L
205 Ada-Borup A 79 53 W
254 Breckenridge AA 86 70 W
302 Frazee AA 72 54 W
314 NCE/U-H A 66 36 W
359 Wadena-Deer Creek AA 89 46 W
  Cavalier 52 47 W

Barnesville (126)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
97 Hermantown AAA 72 55 W
101 Perham AA 64 66 L
114 Pelican Rapids AA 56 72 L
138 Battle Lake A 54 64 L
191 Hawley AA 76 62 W
205 Dilworth-Glyndon-Felton AA 60 47 W
216 Staples-Motley AA 66 40 W
233 Pequot Lakes AA 47 32 W
254 Breckenridge AA 57 48 W
282 Ashby A 64 53 W
302 Frazee AA 52 28 W
314 NCE/U-H A 71 46 W
340 Waubun A 46 30 W
  Richland 46 32 W

Crookston (151)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
81 Thief River Falls AAA 48 67 L
101 Perham AA 46 61 L
114 Pelican Rapids AA 88 71 W
158 Park Rapids Area AA 71 67 W
204 Red Lake A 87 72 W
205 Ada-Borup A 70 59 W
212 Kittson County Central A 66 69 L
243 Roseau AA 68 53 W
243 Roseau AA 72 51 W
302 Frazee AA 58 40 W
320 Win-E-Mac A 68 61 W
363 Bagley AA 66 49 W
376 Warroad AA 90 41 W
376 Warroad AA 88 37 W
381 Sacred Heart A 72 39 W
404 Climax/Fisher A 92 44 W

Park Rapids Area (158)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
95 Crosby-Ironton AA 58 65 L
101 Perham AA 29 83 L
151 Crookston AA 67 71 L
205 Dilworth-Glyndon-Felton AA 72 78 L
216 Staples-Motley AA 98 86 W
216 Staples-Motley AA 59 57 W
233 Pequot Lakes AA 69 60 W
243 Roseau AA 70 58 W
258 Menahga A 68 63 W
302 Frazee AA 65 45 W
359 Wadena-Deer Creek AA 76 71 W
363 Bagley AA 66 48 W
376 Warroad AA 80 24 W
376 Warroad AA 92 23 W

Hawley (191)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
62 Cambridge-Isanti AAAA 61 76 L
69 East Grand Forks AA 63 81 L
81 Thief River Falls AAA 58 74 L
101 Perham AA 63 47 W
104 Fergus Falls AAA 56 67 L
114 Pelican Rapids AA 72 75 L
126 Barnesville AA 62 76 L
205 Dilworth-Glyndon-Felton AA 70 34 W
254 Breckenridge AA 69 63 W
359 Wadena-Deer Creek AA 93 51 W
  Oak Grove 72 80 L
  Bismarck St. Mary's 49 69 L
  Kindred 65 54 W

DGF (205)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
69 East Grand Forks AA 58 80 L
114 Pelican Rapids AA 53 41 W
126 Barnesville AA 47 60 L
158 Park Rapids Area AA 78 72 W
185 Warren-Alvarado-Oslo A 69 52 W
191 Hawley AA 34 70 L
200 Park Christian A 42 54 L
205 Ada-Borup A 53 65 L
254 Breckenridge AA 45 72 L
302 Frazee AA 72 51 W
314 NCE/U-H A 52 37 W
  Fairmount/Campbell-Tintah 57 59 L

Pequot Lakes (233)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
43 Grand Rapids AAA 62 83 L
82 Detroit Lakes AAA 50 67 L
126 Barnesville AA 32 47 L
158 Park Rapids Area AA 60 69 L
216 Staples-Motley AA 52 61 L
303 AItkin AA 53 47 W
335 Pierz AA 52 54 L
353 Deer River AA 58 37 W
356 Pillager AA 53 50 W
359 Wadena-Deer Creek AA 68 48 W
359 Wadena-Deer Creek AA 75 41 W
363 Bagley AA 60 56 W
379 Sebeka A 79 35 W

Roseau (243)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
151 Crookston AA 53 68 L
151 Crookston AA 51 72 L
158 Park Rapids Area AA 58 70 L
172 Northern Freeze A 49 51 L
185 Warren-Alvarado-Oslo A 71 74 L
212 Kittson County Central A 60 57 W
292 Goodridge/Grygla A 68 62 W
363 Bagley AA 66 50 W
371 Badger/Greenbush-Middle River AA 69 46 W
376 Warroad AA 83 47 W
376 Warroad AA 75 41 W
415 Lake of the Woods A 98 29 W

Breckenridge (254)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
77 Maranatha Christian A 61 74 L
101 Perham AA 40 64 L
104 Fergus Falls AAA 54 79 L
114 Pelican Rapids AA 70 86 L
126 Barnesville AA 48 57 L
189 Paynesville Area AA 66 46 W
191 Hawley AA 63 69 L
205 Dilworth-Glyndon-Felton AA 72 45 W
248 Hillcrest Lutheran Academy A 45 49 L
298 MACCRAY A 70 58 W
  Wahpeton 47 61 L
  Fargo South 60 67 L

Frazee (302)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
101 Perham AA 41 54 L
114 Pelican Rapids AA 54 72 L
126 Barnesville AA 28 52 L
151 Crookston AA 40 58 L
158 Park Rapids Area AA 45 65 L
205 Dilworth-Glyndon-Felton AA 51 72 L
258 Menahga A 49 59 L
286 Nevis A 66 63 W
314 NCE/U-H A 41 52 L
332 Mahnomen A 79 78 W
340 Waubun A 64 49 W
359 Wadena-Deer Creek AA 59 45 W

Wadena-Deer Creek (359)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
82 Detroit Lakes AAA 56 81 L
101 Perham AA 53 83 L
114 Pelican Rapids AA 46 89 L
148 Sauk Centre AA 50 74 L
158 Park Rapids Area AA 71 76 L
191 Hawley AA 51 93 L
211 Verndale A 67 73 L
216 Staples-Motley AA 67 79 L
233 Pequot Lakes AA 48 68 L
233 Pequot Lakes AA 41 75 L
302 Frazee AA 45 59 L
334 New York Mills A 62 53 W
377 Pine River-Backus A 61 64 L
387 Northland A 88 63 W
397 Bertha-Hewitt A 72 59 W

Bagley (363)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
69 East Grand Forks AA 52 66 L
81 Thief River Falls AAA 24 78 L
97 Hermantown AAA 42 55 L
151 Crookston AA 49 66 L
158 Park Rapids Area AA 48 66 L
192 Fosston A 42 55 L
200 Fertile-Beltrami A 40 60 L
200 Park Christian A 29 68 L
205 Ada-Borup A 53 71 L
233 Pequot Lakes AA 56 60 L
243 Roseau AA 50 66 L
332 Mahnomen A 45 70 L
404 Climax/Fisher A 59 28 W

BGMR (371)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
172 Northern Freeze A 36 68 L
185 Warren-Alvarado-Oslo A 31 54 L
212 Kittson County Central A 42 48 L
225 Stephen-Argyle A 36 61 L
225 Stephen-Argyle A 32 67 L
225 Stephen-Argyle A 39 51 L
243 Roseau AA 46 69 L
292 Goodridge/Grygla A 43 61 L
370 Red Lake County A 68 48 W
370 Red Lake County A 48 62 L
376 Warroad AA 60 56 W
378 Clearbrook-Gonvick A 61 58 W
378 Clearbrook-Gonvick A 63 66 L
415 Lake of the Woods A 93 38 W
  Medina/Pingree-Buchanan 43 49 L
  Park River/Fordville-Lankin 34 48 L

Warroad (376)
O-QRF Opponent Class Score  
81 Thief River Falls AAA 40 91 L
81 Thief River Falls AAA 33 82 L
151 Crookston AA 41 90 L
151 Crookston AA 37 88 L
158 Park Rapids Area AA 24 80 L
158 Park Rapids Area AA 23 92 L
172 Northern Freeze A 31 61 L
185 Warren-Alvarado-Oslo A 54 74 L
212 Kittson County Central A 40 74 L
243 Roseau AA 47 83 L
243 Roseau AA 41 75 L
286 Nevis A 46 79 L
371 Badger/Greenbush-Middle River AA 56 60 L
415 Lake of the Woods A 82 39 W