QRF explained in detail

I'm getting a lot of feedback wondering how to explain the new QRF and how it is different than the previous formulas. Here is the basic answer

Old formulas used to be:
Predetermined value (based on opponent class) / number of games played

New QRF is:
Predetermined value (based on opponent class) * number of opponent wins / number of games played

That's it. The old QRF that incorporated margin of victory added another parameter, but that is all.

So how would this have looked last year? Posting all of the results for every team in every sport would not be a fun read, so let's look at an example of one team (I've chosen Owatonna because they play a mix of AAAAA and AAAA schools, and also went 5-3 last year so we can see how winning and losing affects the QRF).  I'll do another post later that covers an entire Class.

Owatonna 2010 Football Page

Game#		Opponent	PF		PA	QRF	Opp. Wins
1	L	Wayzata	14		42	30	6
2	L	Mankato West	8		21	35	8
3	W	Albert Lea	17		14	50	2
4	L	Rochester Century	7		34	42	8
5	W	Winona	49		19	65	3
6	W	Rochester Mayo	14		9	110	5
7	W	Faribault	35		6	80	4
8	W	Rochester John Marshall	42		10	74	3

The "QRF" column shows how many points the Huskies would have earned for each of their 8 games last year.

Here it is in order of points earned.

Game#		Opponent	PF		PA	QRF	Opp. Wins
6	W	Rochester Mayo	14		9	110	5
7	W	Faribault	35		6	80	4
8	W	Rochester John Marshall	42		10	74	3
5	W	Winona	49		19	65	3
3	W	Albert Lea	17		14	50	2
4	L	Rochester Century	7		34	42	8
2	L	Mankato West	8		21	35	8
1	L	Wayzata	14		42	30	6

The actual QRF number that gets posted to the site and is used in comparing to other teams is the average of the individual game QRF's.  In Owatonna's case, the number that would be tied to them is 60.8.

Using the above principals applied to all of the teams in 2010 Section 1AAAAA, the seeding would have been:

1. Rochester Century (8-0) 69.9
2. Lakeville North (6-2) 62.3
3. Owatonna (5-3) 60.8
4. Lakeville South (5-3) 54.5
5. Rochester Mayo (5-3) 53.0
6. Rochester John Marshall (3-5) 43.1
7. Farmington (1-7) 23.3

The only switch from how they were actually seeded would've been Owatonna and Lakeville South flipping seeds, mostly because Owatonna's opponents were 39-25, while Lakeville South's opponents were 33-31.

As most people know, Lakeville South ended up winning the Section, avenging an earlier loss to Lakeville North and then rolling over Century in the final.  But that is why we play the games on the field and not the QRF.

The QRF is NOT a predictor of what will happen.  It is a way to give proper credit to how a team has already played.