Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Wheaton vs. Edgerton/Ellsworth vs. CGB

There's a storm brewing in Section 3 9-Man Football!

The Matchup:
Wheaton (7-0), Rank #4, QRF 47.6
Edgerton/Ellsworth (7-0), Rank #5. QRF 47.0
Clinton-Graceville-Beardsley (6-1), Rank #10 QRF 41.0

Wheaton and E/E are headed for undefeated regular seasons, how has the QRF deciphered their results?


The Parameters
First, the level of competition.

Wheaton's breakdown
vs. 9-man   7
vs. A         0
Edgerton/Ellsworth's breakdown:
vs. 9-man   5
vs. A          2
Clinton-Graceville-Beardsley's breakdown
vs. 9-man   7
vs. A          0

Next - opponent record's
Wheaton (21-21)
Edgerton/Ellsworth (18-24)
CGB (22-20)

The Breakdown:

Below is the breakdown of each game for both teams, along with the iQRF (individual QRF) for each game played.  Why are we including CGB in the conversation?  The main reason is to show the difference Wheaton and CGB each received in the game they played against each other.  As I've said from the beginning when people complain about using Margin of Victory/Defeat, it is THE LEAST IMPORTANT CATEGORY.  Winning or losing is always the most important when trying to compare a teams worth.

In other words, Wheaton receives 79.6 for their win over CGB, while CGB receives only 29.4 for that specific game.  But here's the best part about the QRF.....CGB received more credit for losing to an undefeated team by 6 points, than beating a winless (Hancock) team by 52.

So while winning/losing is still the most important (that's why Wheaton got 50 more points that CGB in that game), the QRF also gives credit for playing good competition even if they lose.  To me, that's what makes the QRF legit.

On to the numbers!


Wheaton47.6 
Game# OpponentPF PAQRFOpp.
Wins
1WVerndale12 821.41
2WBrandon-Evansville18 671.05
3WCA/HN22 847.23
4WLincoln HI50 738.02
5WClinton-Graceville-Beardsley12 679.66
6WHancock56 1210.00
7WBertha-Hewitt51 866.04
8 Ashby    1
        
Record(7-0) 
        
Edgerton/Ellsworth47.0 
Game# OpponentPF PAQRFOpp.
Wins
1WAlden-Conger60 010.00
2WCleveland62 1438.02
3WJanesville-Waldorf-Pemberton40 638.02
4WGranada-Huntley-EC/ML66 626.01
5WMadelia54 2466.04
6WHills-Beaver Creek36 1277.05
7WWestbrook-Walnut Grove74 1874.04
8 Truman    3
        
Record(7-0) 
        
C-G-B41.0 
Game# OpponentPF PAQRFOpp.
Wins
1WHillcrest Lutheran14 072.05
2WLincoln HI36 638.02
3WHancock66 1410.00
4WCA/HN22 647.83
5LWheaton6 1229.47
6WBrandon-Evansville22 1668.05
7WVerndale20 1221.81
8 Bertha-Hewitt    4
        
Record(6-1) 


P.S.  If everything plays out as expected tonight, I'm expecting E/E to leapfrog Wheaton after Wednesday's games.  But a lot will depend on how each of their opponent's does too.

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Esko vs Marshall Volleyball

The first compare is between two AA teams, ranked #8 and #9 respectively based on data on Minnesota-Scores.net through 10 AM on 10/19/10.

The Matchup:
Esko (24-1), Rank #8, QRF 143.8
Marshall (17-9, Rank #9. QRF 142.4

Esko has 7 more wins and 8 less losses than Marshall, so why are they virtually tied in the QRF?  Several reasons.

The Parameters
First, the level of competition.  Esko's breakdown (1 non-MN team):

vs. A         12
vs. AA       10
vs. AAA      3

Marshall's breakdown:
vs. A          6
vs. AA       12
vs. AAA      9

Next - opponent wins

Esko's opponents have 271 wins this year, Marshall's have 388!  Combine that with the above opponent's Class, and it's easy to see how Marshall is able to make up the 7 win difference.

The Breakdown:

Below is the breakdown of each game for both teams, along with the iQRF (individual QRF) for each game played.  In other words, Esko receives 218.0 for their win over Hermantown in the latest calculation.  The QRF you see on the site is the average of all QRF's for all games played.


Esko143.8
Game#OpponentPFPAiQRFOpp.
Wins
1WHermantown31218.016AA
2WNorthwestern30
3WTwo Harbors3052.03AA
4WVirginia30164.011AA
5WCromwell31164.014A
6WWarroad20166.012AA
7WFAIR Downtown2010.00A
8WNorth Branch20235.015AAA
9WSartell-St. Stephen20160.010AAA
10WFloodwood30154.012A
11WMoose Lake-Willow River3094.06AA
12WCarlton30154.012A
13WWrenshall3022.01A
14WChisholm20197.017A
15WBabbitt-Embarrass20186.016A
16WVirginia21142.011AA
17LHeritage Christian0257.524A
18WDuluth East31280.018AAA
19WBarnum30166.013A
20WDuluth Marshall2088.06AA
21WInternational Falls20140.010AA
22WGreenway20231.017AA
23WCloquet20218.016AA
24WSilver Bay3046.03A
25WMcGregor30106.08A
26Cook County16A
271
Record
(
24-1)
Marshall142.4
Game#OpponentPFPAiQRFOpp.
Wins
1WAlexandria30234.014AAA
2LBethlehem Academy0325.518A
3WMankato West31190.012AAA
4LJackson County Central23103.524AA
5WSouthwest Star Concept20230.020A
6WBelgrade-Brooten-Elrosa20241.021A
7WHopkins21192.013AAA
8LLeSueur-Henderson1272.017AA
9LWayzata0290.021AAA
10WFairmont30122.08AA
11LWindom Area2366.520A
12WLitchfield3052.03AA
13WWorthington30262.018AA
14WShakopee21248.017AAA
15LEastview1288.017AAA
16LEden Prairie0267.516AAA
17LApple Valley0276.518AAA
18WPipestone Area3094.06AA
19WNew Ulm31140.010AA
20WRedwood Valley30220.015AA
21LVisitation1294.522AA
22WHibbing20101.07AA
23WAndover21192.013AAA
24WJordan21202.016AA
25WTracy-Milroy-Balaton30190.015A
25WLuverne30108.07AA
26MACCRAY12A
388
Record
(
17-9)


Doesn't paste the best from my Microsoft Excel, but hopefully you get the idea.

If you've got a Compare you'd like to see, shoot me an email at ryan@minnesota-scores.net or post a comment here.

Thanks!

Ryan