Predicting games test

As mentioned in an earlier post, on average the rankings will have 90% of the teams you beat will be below you and 90% of the teams you lose to will be above you.  I've decided to take that a step further and remove those 50-50 games and see if that applies to future games as well as past games.

So this is today's test - before any Boys BB final scores come in - try and apply a ranking before the game is played to predict an outcome.  This is a VERY small sample size (44 games), we'll be doing this again in the future to see how it correlates over time.

The closer together they are, the less likely they are to win (rank difference is in parentheses)

Expect about half of these teams to win:

• Red Rock Central (+8) over Wabasso - won by 18
• Browerville/Eagle Valley (+11) over Pine River-Backus - won by 27
• Brooklyn Center (+11) over Minnesota Transitions Charter - won by 34
• Fulda (+12) over Ellsworth - Lost by 3

Expect 90% of these teams to win:

• St. Francis (+25) over Andover - won by 5
• Southwest Christian (+26) over Jordan - Lost by 9
• Eden Valley-Watkins (+26) over Morris Area/Chokio-Alberta - won by 10
• Chatfield (+35) over North Branch - Lost by 25
• Richfield (+36) over Holy Angels - won by 11
• Virginia (+38) over South Ridge - won by 40
• Mankato Loyola (+46) over Blooming Prairie - won by 16
• Mahtomedi (+47) over Hermantown - won by 9
• Hibbing (+58) over Zimmerman - Lost by 10
• Holy Family Catholic (+63) over Minneapolis Edison - won by 25
• Robbinsdale Cooper (+66) over Minneapolis Roosevelt - won by 12
• Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa (+67) over MACCRAY - won by 8
• Cretin-Derham Hall (+68) over St. Paul Johnson - won by 18
• St. Paul Central (+73) over Roseville - Lost by 7
• Park of Cottage Grove (+80) over Cristo Rey Jesuit - won by 26
• Warroad (+84) over Wadena-Deer Creek - Lost by 25
• St. Peter (+87) over Belle Plaine - won by 3
• Bemidji (+94) over Duluth Denfeld - Lost by 4
• Pequot Lakes (+103) over Pierz - won by 6
• New York Mills (+105) over Norman County West
• Kingsland (+105) over Hope Lutheran
• Hopkins (+118) over Minneapolis Washburn - won by 32
• Norwood-Young America (+120) over Legacy Christian
• Fairmont (+127) over Martin County West - won by 13
• Goodhue (+128) over Southland - won by 1
• Hope Academy (+135) over Kerkhoven-Murdock-Sunburg - won by 38
• Minneapolis North (+138) over Central MN Christian - won by 30
• New Life Academy (+154) over Lakeview Christian - won by 33
• Thief River Falls (+157) over Cloquet - won by 11
• Park Center (+159) over Minneapolis Southwest - won by 47
• Osseo (+159) over Moorhead - won by 46
• Blaine (+163) over Cambridge-Isanti - won by 34
• Canby (+165) over Heron Lake-Okabena - won by 29
• Totino-Grace (+175) over White Bear Lake - lost by 2
• Cannon Falls (+187) over Dover-Eyota - won by 20
• Rochester Lourdes (+188) over Winona Cotter - won by 13
• Hillcrest Lutheran Academy (+194) over Park Christian - won by 24
• CHOF (+200) over Bethany Academy - won by 33
• Crosby-Ironton (+265) over Duluth Marshall - won by 38
• Mounds View (+299) over MN Academy for the Deaf - won by 35