Minnesota-Scores.net: Class AAAAA Playoff Scenarios

Section 1AAAAA

Scenarios:

Lakeville North looks good for number 1.
Owatonna will be #2 with a win, unless LN loses then could be #1.
3-5: basically win and host a playoff game scenario with one exception. If all three win, it will be close as Lakeville South plays 2-win Burnsville this week.
Century/Farmington currently tied, but Century has a tougher game in week 8. If both lose, Century in 6^th. If both win, Farmington 7^th, Century/Mayo/JM could all be 5-3 and too close to call.

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Section 2AAAAA

Scenarios:

The most talked about QRF numbers of any Section
The Problem with Mounds View’s resume is that they will have 5 out of 7 wins over teams that win 2 games or less.
Totino-Grace and Mounds View opponents in Week 8 are combined 1-15.
Stillwater and White Bear Lake both play 2 win teams – likely to stay 3 and 4 respectively.
The bigger school schedule Mounds View has played will probably get them over the Totino-Grace hurdle into the #1 spot this week, but it is still very close.

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Section 4AAAAA

Scenarios:

Cretin is safe at #1
Eagan win over Rosemount would put them close to Woodbury, but would still need help.
Hastings/East Ridge tied, both play 5-win AAAAA teams. Hastings won head to head. They share common opponents except:

Hastings vs. Roseville (probable loss to CDH)
East Ridge vs. Forest Lake (underdog to Woodbury)
Will be tied unless one wins and the other doesn’t, OR Roseville/Forest Lake win

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Section 5AAAAA

Scenarios:

Wazyata easily earns the bye. Not only are they 7-0 against all AAAAA competition, their opponent’s combined record in games not vs. Wayzata? 30-12
2-4 is congested – Osseo beat Champlin Park on a Hail Mary in Week 6, but Osseo’s opponent’s so far are only 15-34, while CP’s are 29-20. Both teams have games against 6-1 AAAAA schools, as does St. Michael-Albertville lurking closely behind.
Bottom line – order appears to be Osseo – Champlin Park – STMA, but lose in Week 8 and drop behind anyone that won.
Cooper gets Minneapolis South and needs to win to stay ahead of Armstrong who plays a winless Park Center, AND Maple Grove because if the Crimson can upset Centennial, they will move up to the 5 seed.

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Section 7AAAAA

Scenarios:

If Anoka wins or Blaine loses – Anoka will be the 1 seed
If Anoka loses and Blaine wins – Blaine will be the 1 seed
St. Francis plays a 0-win AAA team this week, can stay in 2^nd if Blaine loses, otherwise drops to 3rd/4th.
Centennial has a chance to move into 3^rd and maybe 2^nd if Blaine loses.
Forest Lake appears safe in 5^th.
Winner of Coon Rapids/Andover is probably 6^th, loser 7^th.

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Section 8AAAAA

Scenarios:

Elk River solid at # 1
2-4 round-robin – Brainerd beat Tech, Tech beat Moorhead, Moorhead beat Brainerd.

Brainerd – biggest wins – over Rocori (6-1) and Tech (5-2)
Tech – most wins - fewest opponent wins
Moorhead – BRUTAL schedule – opponent’s they have lost to are combined 24-4. Only played one team below .500, and Willmar is 3-4.

All three will be favored this week – if all three win it is probably going to be Brainerd, Moorhead then Tech because Tech’s schedule is so soft.
Duluth East is fairly safe at 5….but Buffalo or Cambridge win will knock them down.

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Minnesota-Scores.net