Minnesota-Scores.net: Class A Playoff Scenarios

Section 1A

Scenarios:

This one is tough to handicap because there are four very good teams that are all close together.
It appears Fillmore Central has the edge for #1, but Southland could make that close with a win over Caledonia.
Blooming Prairie and Goodhue are both ready to pass them if Southland falls.
Rushford-Peterson and Kingsland play each other – the winner will be #5 unless Bethlehem beats BP. The loser is probably 7, with Bethlehem staying at 6 with a loss.
Medford and Wabasha-Kellogg both have winnable games – if both win and Rushford loses it will be close for the 7-8-9 spots.

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Section 3A

Scenarios:

Adrian is favored in their final game and should hold onto the #1 seed.
Martin County West has the toughest opponent (WEM), if they win that could vault them to #2.
If MCW loses, the winner of MLBO/Wabasso will be 2. Also, if Springfield wins they could catch MCW.
There is a lot of fluidity in the section, as the teams are fairly close together and play other teams that have similar records (like RRC vs SESM and MCC vs TMB).
Southwestern United is locked into the #8 seed.

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Section 4A

Scenarios:

Let’s assume ACGC and Royalton win their games against winless teams. There are then two big games in this Section, BBE vs Kimball and Le Center vs Lester Prairie
If BBE and Le Center win:
Le Center | Kimball | Royalton | LP | BBE | ACGC | North
If BBE and Lester Prairie win:
LP | Kimball | Le Center | Royalton | BBE | ACGC | North
If Kimball and Le Center win:
Le Center | Kimball | Royalton | LP | ACGC | BBE | North
If Kimball and Lester Prairie win:
Kimball | LP | Le Center | Royalton | ACGC | BBE | North
The above assumes the same number of wins for their opponents in Week 8.

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Section 5A

Scenarios:

If everything goes according to plan in Week 8 – these standings should stay about the same. BLHS vs Springfield is a swing game, a win for BLHS could move them all the way up to #4.
If Minneota beats Montevideo, that would vault them up to #1 past Dawson-Boyd.
If KMS beats USA, they could move to number four as well.
Lakeview could move ahead of Ortonville with a win and an Ortonville loss.

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Section 6A

Scenarios:

Mahnomen is safe at #1
Browerville plays 6-1 Osakis (AA) – a win would get them close to Mahnomen but probably not over the top. A lose and Pillager win over LPA would put Pillager in 2 and Browerville 3.
LPA win over Pillager sneaks them barely past the Huskies.
Mahnomen | Browerville | Pillager | Lake Park-Audubon will be hosting week 1.
Ottertail Central, Pine River-Backus have winnable games – if both win or both lose, OTC has the advantage. If that doesn’t happen, whoever wins should be 6 and whoever loses should be 7.
New York Mills is 8^th unless they beat Barnesville.

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Section 7A

Scenarios:

Braham is lock at #1
Deer River is lock at #2
Cook County looks safe at #3 with a win
Ogilvie is at least #4 with a win
Barnum is a lock at #5
East Central and Mesabi East are battling for 6-7….East Central wno head to head, but Mesabi East has two other wins. Will be close.

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

Section 8A

Scenarios:

Fertile-Beltrami is a lock at #1
Warren is a lock at #2
This is where it gets more interesting. Red Lake County is a big underdog to Mahnomen. Cass Lake-Bena and Lake of the Woods have winnable games, and the Northern Freeze have already won. If either CLB or LOW win they would move past Red Lake County.
If both CLB and LOW lose, it’s possible for the Northern Freeze to pass them into 4^th. Again, if either of them lose, the Northern Freeze will probably pass them (although it will be more difficult to pass CLB).

Most likely outcome (no upsets):

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