Tuesday, October 16, 2012

2012 Class AA Week 8 Preview

2012 Class AA Week 8 Preview
Below is a listing of three things. The current QRF and two new formulas called QRFMax and QRFMin.
 
QRFMax = Win Week 8 + Likely points from previous opponents
QRFMin = Lose Week 8 + Likely points from previous opponents

***Disclaimer***
"Likely points from previous opponents" will vary depending on which previous opponents win. This calculation was done based on your previous opponent history and points you would earn for playing them based on your result with them.
 
Also, most out of state and some MN opponents have already played 8 games, that was not factored into this equation. In other words, a very inexact science that has not been tested.

We will be running calculations periodically throught Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Your Section will be officially done when marked as "FINAL" on the Section Standings pages.

All Sections that do not have opponents playing on Thursday are expected to be marked "FINAL" before 10 AM Thursday morning. Thursday opponent Sections will have calculations done immediately after the score is reported.
Class AA predicted Tiebreaker Margin is 2.2
Section 1 AA QRF QRFMax QRFMin
Caledonia 60.1 60.4 56.4
Lewiston-Altura 45.7 54.2 44.5
Chatfield 46.5 50.8 44.6
Triton 47.2 49.3 44.3
Dover-Eyota 17.0 22.2 17.2
St. Charles 14.4 19.6 14.6
Hayfield 13.9 23.4 15.6
 
 
Section 2 AA QRF QRFMax QRFMin
Sibley East 63.4 65.5 59.8
Waterville-Elysian-Morristown 58.0 61.1 55.4
Medford 37.8 41.2 36.2
LeSueur-Henderson 25.8 35.4 26.9
Gibbon-Fairfax-Winthrop 22.6 29.5 23.3
Kenyon-Wanamingo 8.0 21.9 10.7
 
 
Section 3 AA QRF QRFMax QRFMin
Luverne 65.8 79.7 65.0
Jackson County Central 56.3 57.0 52.8
Maple River 43.8 47.6 42.0
Pipestone Area 36.5 44.8 36.0
Tracy-Milroy-Balaton 25.7 27.3 23.9
New Richland-H-E-G 14.4 22.8 15.7
Windom Area 13.3 23.5 15.7
St. James Area 9.6 25.0 13.5
 
 
Section 4 AA QRF QRFMax QRFMin
Mayer Lutheran 53.8 63.3 52.7
Maple Lake 45.0 52.5 44.1
Kimball Area 30.1 32.5 27.5
St. Agnes 23.6 37.6 25.2
St. Paul Humboldt 20.6 25.8 19.6
Howard Lake-Waverly-Winsted 15.6 22.7 16.3
Spectrum 11.7 18.0 13.4
Brooklyn Center 8.8 22.8 12.2
 
 
Section 5 AA QRF QRFMax QRFMin
BOLD 57.7 60.8 54.4
Paynesville Area 37.7 45.2 38.9
Minnewaska Area 33.7 40.5 33.4
Lac qui Parle Valley 30.8 35.9 29.7
Benson 28.2 38.2 29.0
Eden Valley-Watkins 23.7 28.8 23.7
Yellow Medicine East 7.7 23.0 11.5
 
 
Section 6 AA QRF QRFMax QRFMin
Holdingford 53.5 58.1 51.0
Pierz 52.7 58.7 50.9
Crosby-Ironton 52.3 62.1 51.5
Upsala/Swanville Area 46.9 49.6 44.5
Osakis 31.1 36.7 30.5
Wadena-Deer Creek 18.6 25.6 19.4
Breckenridge 19.8 24.9 19.6
Long Prairie-Grey Eagle 14.2 21.7 15.4
 
 
Section 7 AA QRF QRFMax QRFMin
Moose Lake-Willow River 65.2 67.4 61.2
Hinckley-Finlayson 44.8 49.6 42.5
Duluth Marshall 35.8 44.0 35.5
Eveleth-Gilbert 33.9 35.2 35.2
Rush City 33.2 36.8 32.2
Braham 24.9 26.9 23.5
Deer River 22.5 29.1 22.8
Two Harbors 12.6 19.7 13.5
 
 
Section 8 AA QRF QRFMax QRFMin
Hawley 63.3 66.9 59.8
Barnesville 57.6 58.7 54.2
Pelican Rapids 51.7 56.2 49.1
Frazee 45.4 50.2 44.0
Warroad 42.4 51.2 42.1
Prairie Valley 30.0 35.0 29.2
Bagley 22.6 28.6 22.4
United North Central 16.4 20.4 16.4

1 comment:

Unknown said...

I feel sorry for anyone playing the Holdingford Huskers. That's some serious blunt force trauma!